13 current analyses • Latest: Sep 12, 06:00 AM

TON

overall4h
$1.31 0.83%
BEARISH
TON/BTC correlation is 78%. Worth checking BTC analysis for market insights.

Market Profile

GPL25xL25xL25xPOC$1.31$1.09$1.18$1.27$1.36$1.46$1.55
Volume
POC
Support
Resistance
Long Liq
Short Liq
Golden Pocket

The 4h chart is in a clean, well-formed downtrend and it has been for three weeks. The swing sequence since the Aug-22 at 1.5600 prints unambiguously lower highs — 1.506 → 1.459 → 1.447 → 1.439 → 1.417 → 1.412 — with price now chopping below a fully bearish moving-average stack (EMA20 1.371 > EMA50 1.381 > EMA100 1.384 > EMA200 1.396, all overhead and all sloping down).

technical

1d
BEARISH

Note on data continuity: the ticker migrated from TONUSDT to GRAMUSDT on Jul 2, 2026. All trend reads below use the spliced 765-bar series so the moving averages are not artifacts of a 73-bar…

16h old

open interest

1d
BEARISH

Instrument note: TONCOIN now trades as Gram post-migration. Live venue is GRAMUSDT (spot + perp); legacy TONUSDT last printed $1.600 on 2026-06-30 and is stale.

20h old

fundamental

1d
BEARISH

The dominant trend on the daily is bearish-to-rotational. Since the Gram rebrand listing on Jul 2 at $1.60, price made its high at $1.843 (Jul 4) and has been grinding lower into a $1.294–$1.560…

Stale · 27h old

sentiment

1d
BEARISH

The dominant trend is bearish, and it is bearish on the timeframe that matters most. The stitched weekly history (Kraken TONUSD → Binance GRAMUSDT) shows an unbroken staircase of lower highs: $1.843…

Stale · 32h old

price action

1d
BEARISH

Data note: the asset trades as Gram (prev. Toncoin); Binance GRAMUSDT from 2026-07-02 stitched onto legacy TONUSDT history for a continuous 764-bar daily series.

Stale · 36h old

technical

4h
BULLISH

TON/USDT 4h Analysis — 2026-07-14 08:31 GMT. Price: $1.6000. RSI(14) = 66.67 (Neutral), RSI momentum = +8.23. 4h EMA Structure: all bearish. Price vs EMA20: $1.5876 (ABOVE).

Stale · 1454h old

price action

4h
BULLISH

Price action shows classic liquidity sweep pattern: price spiked to 1.38 to grab sell-side liquidity (trapping breakout buyers), then crashed to 1.30 to grab buy-side liquidity (trapping breakdown…

Stale · 4526h old

sentiment

4h
NEUTRAL

The sentiment analysis reveals a mixed picture for TON. The Fear & Greed Index stands at 12 (Extreme Fear), which historically suggests potential buying opportunities when sentiment reaches extremes.

Stale · 4526h old

open interest

4h
NEUTRAL

TON open interest has declined 8.98% over the past 5 days (22.7M to 20.7M contracts), while price pulled back from $1.3972 weekly high to current $1.3424.

Stale · 4550h old

sentiment

24h
NEUTRAL

TON sentiment is MIXED with constructive underlying narratives. The Fear & Greed Index at 22 (Extreme Fear) suggests potential reversal opportunity per contrarian strategy - historically, extreme…

Stale · 4598h old

open interest

1h
NEUTRAL

TON OI declined 1.17% to 19.83M contracts over 24h while price fell from $1.4137 to $1.366 (-3.37%), showing healthy deleveraging during price weakness.

Stale · 4910h old

fundamental

30d
BULLISH

Comprehensive fundamental analysis of TON (Toncoin) based on recent ecosystem developments, regulatory environment, adoption metrics, competition analysis, and market narratives over the past 30…

Stale · 5064h old

Signal History

BEARISH11 Sept, 08:30
The 4h chart is in a clean, well-formed downtrend and it has been for three weeks.
BEARISH10 Sept, 08:30
The dominant trend is bearish at the 4h level inside a five-month basing range that is quietly tilting lower.
BULLISH9 Sept, 08:30
The larger frame is still bearish: TON sits −82.9% from its $8.25 ATH, the 1-year change is −55%, and the weekly tape rolled from $1.843 (late June)…
BULLISH5 Sept, 08:30
Overall Analysis — TON (TONCOIN/USDT) on 4h Market Snapshot Trend & Structure Assessment The dominant picture on the 4h is a modestly bullish,…
BULLISH4 Sept, 08:30
The dominant trend is bullish. After roughly two weeks of consolidation between ~76,800 and ~78,900, price staged a decisive breakout three candles…
BULLISH19 Aug, 08:30
I've produced the synthesized overall analysis for TON on the 4h timeframe. Based on the evidence gathered: Key data from live API: TON trading at…
BEARISH18 Aug, 08:30
Overall Analysis — TON (TONCOIN/USDT) on 4h Note: TON has been rebranded and now trades under the GRAMUSDT ticker on Bybit; the data below reflects…
BEARISH17 Aug, 08:30
Critical data points: Price: $1.329 (down from $1.357 peak on 08/15) 4h RSI: 44.3 (trajectory: 51.1 → 55.4 → 45.0 → 44.8 → 44.3) 20-period avg vol:…
BEARISH16 Aug, 08:30
The analysis has been written and saved. Here is the final synthesized report: Overall Analysis — TON (TONCOIN/USDT) on 4h On the 4-hour timeframe…
BULLISH15 Aug, 08:30
I have solid confirmation. Coingecko consistently shows TON live spot at $1.33 with +0.38% 24h change.

Signal Summary

Market Data

24h Change-0.83%
7d Change+9.23%
24h Volume$2.48M
BTC Corr0.78
ETH Corr0.77
BTC Coint0.03
ETH Coint0.05