ETH

The analysis has been saved successfully. Let me provide a summary of the analysis.

✅ ETH/USDT Daily Macro Analysis — Complete

Analysis saved to database with the following details:

Field	Value
ID	daily-macro-eth-2026-07-26-2210
Asset	ETH/USDT
Timeframe	1D
Signal	BULLISH 🟢
Confidence	0.60
Current Price	$1,937.67

Key Findings

1. Trend Direction: BULLISH

• 5th consecutive higher weekly low (W30 low $1,843 > W29 low $1,750)
• Higher weekly high established ($1,957 > $1,947)
• Today's strong bullish marubozu candle (+3.37%) fully absorbed the Jul 23 bearish engulfing

2. Weekly Structure: Textbook Bullish

• Week open $1,872 → current $1,938 (+3.52%)
• Higher low sequence intact for 5 weeks running
• Week closing today (Sunday) — positive weekly close expected

3. Key Technical Levels

• Resistance: $1,942 (Jul 23 high) → $1,957 (week high) → $1,972-$2,000
• Support: $1,922 (SMA90) → $1,875 → $1,851 (pullback low)

4. SMA90 Reclaimed! After 3 consecutive days of rejection (Jul 21-23), price closed above SMA90 ($1,922) for the first time since Jul 22. This is a significant structural victory.

5. Risk Factors

• Low volume on recovery (0.61x avg) — partially Sunday effect, needs confirmation Monday
• FOMC Jul 29-30 next week — major event risk
• Still below $1,957 week high — hasn't fully reclaimed breakout levels

Scenarios

Scenario	Probability	Target
Bullish Continuation	45%	$1,957-$2,000
Consolidation/Retest	35%	$1,900-$1,940
Bearish Failure	20%	$1,851-$1,803

Guidance for 4h Timeframe Runs

• Bullish bias above $1,911 with targets at $1,941 and $1,957
• Key support: SMA90 ($1,922) — must hold for bullish continuation
• Risk: Low volume recovery could be vulnerable to retest before next leg up
• Watch: Volume pickup on Monday to confirm the recovery