1000PEPE

Market Snapshot

Metric	Value
Price	$0.003321 (mark $0.0033213, 24h +0.18%, range $0.0032000–$0.0035719)
RSI(14)	46.1 (last completed 1d candle; 46.6 live)
20-Period Avg Vol	65.7B PEPE (≈$242M notional) — 24h tape 94.2B = 1.43x average
Momentum	MACD(12,26,9): line +0.000036, histogram −6.9e−5 and expanding negative (bear cross Sep 9–10)
Moving averages	EMA20 $0.003463 (price −4.1%) · SMA50 $0.003195 (+0.9%) · SMA200 $0.003294 (+0.8%) · EMA200 $0.003623 (−8.4%)
Volatility / Bands	ATR(14) 7.83% of price; Bollinger $0.003189–$0.004006, %B 0.16, Stoch(14) 17.7
Structure	7d −8.1% · 30d +23.6% · 365d −72.1% · −27.2% off the Aug 22 high
Derivatives	Funding −0.0042% (printed −0.014% to −0.018% at the low); OI 18.4B contracts / $61M (−7.5% contracts, −16.4% notional in 3d)

Trend & Structure Assessment

Two clocks are running at once. On the secular clock, 1000PEPE is still inside a 16-month bear: −72% year-over-year, −78.6% from the May 2025 high, and price capped below the daily EMA200 at $0.003623 — so anything happening now is a recovery leg, not a confirmed new regime. On the intermediate clock the picture is far better: a 365-day low at $0.0022274 on July 1 triggered a +105% advance to $0.0045632 on August 22, and the market has since spent three weeks correcting into, but not through, a dense support shelf. Price still closes above the daily SMA50 ($0.003195), above the daily SMA200 ($0.003294), and above the weekly EMA10 ($0.003263) — all of which sit within 1% of spot. That is a market holding its entire intermediate bullish scaffolding while pricing like it has broken down.

Market structure is a descending-triangle/wedge hybrid rather than a clean trend. The high sequence is unambiguously bearish — $0.004563 (Aug 22) → $0.003882 (Sep 3) → $0.003767 (Sep 9) → $0.003572 (Sep 11) — but the low sequence has flattened into a triple test: $0.003360 (Aug 30), $0.003218 (Sep 10), $0.003200 (Sep 11). A trendline drawn through those successively lower highs has now descended into the floor itself, and September's bounce tagged $0.003572 intraday — a poke through the line that failed to close above it. The Fibonacci math reinforces the shelf: the 50% retracement of the July–August rally is $0.003395 and the 61.8% is $0.003120, so price has spent five sessions pinballing inside that band. The 45-day volume profile adds the nuance: the point of control is $0.0036 with heavy nodes at $0.0037/$0.0040/$0.0041 (underwater supply directly overhead) and the next thick cluster at $0.0028, leaving $0.0032 as a relatively low-density seam — support if held, a vacuum if lost.

Multi-timeframe: weekly is corrective (last completed week −9.17%, weekly RSI 47.5 down from 54.8) but still riding the weekly EMA10. Daily is momentum-bearish inside a trend-bullish context. 4-hour is the constructive leg — RSI traced 35.6 → 32.6 → 42.7 across essentially equal lows ($0.003218 vs $0.003200), a textbook bullish divergence. 1-hour is compressed into a $0.00330–$0.00334 box with volume decaying bar over bar: post-reclaim coiling. Timeframes disagree, which is precisely what a decision node looks like.

Momentum & Volume Analysis

Momentum is fading but not broken, and the details matter. Daily RSI collapsed from an 84 blow-off reading on August 21 to 46.1 — that is normalization from euphoria, not a momentum capitulation, and importantly RSI is higher today (46.1) than at the September 10 low (43.7) while price made a marginal new low, a small positive divergence. The MACD histogram has been expanding negative for five sessions (−3.1 → −6.9 in 1e−5 units) and the signal cross is the cleanest bearish datapoint on the chart, yet the MACD line itself remains above zero — deceleration inside an intact intermediate uptrend rather than the start of a fresh bear leg. With stochastic at 17.7 and %B at 0.16 (the Sep 11 low landing almost exactly on the lower Bollinger at $0.003189), price is statistically overextended to the downside against its own mean.

Volume is where the thesis actually earns its keep. September 11 was the largest session in three weeks — 96.2B PEPE / $322M, 1.35x the 20-day average — and it printed the swing low, then closed +2.24% with a lower wick roughly 1.1 ATR deep. Inside that day, the low came in a single 48.1B four-hour bar closing +3.11% (~4x normal 4-hour turnover): the peak aggression was met by absorption, not continuation. The prior day's −6.95% broke down on 76.8B — less than the reversal bar. That sequence (breakdown volume < reclaim volume) is the signature of a flushed low. Caveats: up-day/down-day volume over 30 days is only 1.14, OBV is +5.6% on the month but −12.7% on the quarter, and today's reopen is trading 7.4B in six hours — no follow-through yet. Crucially, OI fell 7.5% (contracts) and 16.4% (notional, $73M → $61M) over three days, so the leverage behind the selloff was liquidated longs, not newly-short sellers; and spot PEPE t