AVAX

AVAX/USDT 4h Analysis — 2026-07-14 08:31 GMT.

Price: $6.5150. RSI(14) = 49.27 (Neutral), RSI momentum = +14.83 (3-candle: +11.82).

4h EMA Structure: mixed. Price vs EMA20: $6.5355 (BELOW). Price vs EMA50: $6.6061 (BELOW). Price vs EMA200: $6.6021 (BELOW). Price is below EMA200 ($6.6021) — bearish breakdown confirmed.

MACD: Bullish (line=-0.048106, sig=-0.054770, hist=0.006664). MACD just crossed above signal line — early bullish crossover on 4h.

Volume: last completed candle 136490.76 (0.51x avg). 5-candle avg 375728.96 (1.40x avg). Volume trend: rising. Volume on recovery candles is below average — lack of strong conviction.

Scoring: RSI=15/20, RSI Mom=13/15, Vol=2/25, Breakout=4/20, HTF=4/20. Total=38/100 (Conf=38.00%). Net bias=9.

Signal: NEUTRAL. Action: WAIT.

Higher TF (Daily): No prior daily (1d) AVAX analysis found in database. Computed from live data: Daily RSI 49.30 (Neutral). Daily price $6.5150 is below EMA20 ($6.6447) and below EMA200 ($8.3784). Daily EMAs: ALL BEARISH alignment (20<50<200). Daily MACD histogram -0.010887 (falling). Daily trend is BEARISH (price below EMA200). The 4h shows a potential early recovery bounce (RSI recovering, MACD crossing up) but daily trend remains bearish — divergence noted but 4h confidence too low for directional call.

Key levels: Support $6.3400 (prev day low), $6.2820 (prev week low), $6.0000. Resistance $6.5355 (4h EMA20), $6.6061 (4h EMA50), $6.6830 (prev day high), $7.0920 (prev week high). Price recovering from $6.2820 low but still below all 4h EMAs.